ESPN’s Bill Connelly, the brains behind the SP+ rating system, joins AP’s Ralph Russo to dig into his first projections for the 2022 season, and see how they compare with the way-too-early preseason rankings. In a comparison of humans and numbers, a trend is spotted. Several of 2021’s surprise teams are expected to regress in 2022, according to SP+. Meanwhile, Bill’s advanced metrics are expecting a bounce back from a few blue bloods that struggled in 2021. Bill also explains how he is adjusting to a new era of roster turnover related to transfers.

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